Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.066262 0.078317 0.091817 0.108039 0.126987 0.148401 0.174423
2025-05-11 0.048279 0.064010 0.083609 0.109744 0.143605 0.185910 0.242691
2025-05-18 0.038711 0.056107 0.079635 0.113616 0.161248 0.225424 0.318210
2025-05-25 0.030247 0.047267 0.071934 0.110018 0.167009 0.248733 0.374325
2025-06-01 0.025107 0.041886 0.067704 0.109922 0.176740 0.277779 0.441303
2025-06-08 0.020947 0.037082 0.063290 0.108419 0.183519 0.302584 0.504348
2025-06-15 0.018464 0.034487 0.061810 0.111096 0.196871 0.338705 0.589048
2025-06-22 0.015823 0.031101 0.058383 0.109801 0.203140 0.363691 0.658067
2025-06-29 0.013461 0.027776 0.054487 0.106965 0.206097 0.383056 0.719317
2025-07-06 0.011433 0.024718 0.050571 0.103414 0.207083 0.398755 0.775464
2025-07-13 0.010380 0.023419 0.049788 0.105664 0.219114 0.435643 0.874353
2025-07-20 0.009333 0.021949 0.048425 0.106518 0.228428 0.468305 0.968684
2025-07-27 0.008356 0.020489 0.046923 0.106986 0.237260 0.501509 1.068932
2025-08-03 0.007588 0.019376 0.046000 0.108566 0.248647 0.541181 1.186984
2025-08-10 0.007072 0.018765 0.046091 0.112377 0.265277 0.593419 1.336841
2025-08-17 0.006136 0.016950 0.043140 0.108812 0.265073 0.610069 1.412942
2025-08-24 0.005532 0.015870 0.041759 0.108717 0.272714 0.644457 1.531386
2025-08-31 0.004928 0.014679 0.039920 0.107229 0.276851 0.671428 1.636109
2025-09-07 0.004599 0.014179 0.039749 0.109878 0.291282 0.723371 1.803565
2025-09-14 0.004127 0.013189 0.038145 0.108596 0.295781 0.752562 1.920766
2025-09-21 0.003650 0.012091 0.036081 0.105790 0.296014 0.771526 2.015434
2025-09-28 0.003206 0.011005 0.033879 0.102276 0.293919 0.784512 2.096784
2025-10-05 0.003007 0.010658 0.033730 0.104503 0.307508 0.838243 2.286123